With polls opening in less than 16 hours, PolitickerMA.com asked the local punditry to handicap the state's top of the ballot races. Here's a breakdown of what they said.
Presidential:
Nothing shocking here, as PolitickerMA.com couldn't find a single pundit or strategist that believes Republican nominee John McCain is going to beat Democratic nominee Barack Obama in the Bay State, which hasn't backed a Republican presidential candidate since 1984. Some analysts did differ, however, on what Obama's victory margin will be.
Charles Stewart, a political scientist at MIT, crunched the numbers Monday morning and said he believed Obama would carry the state by about the margin that U.S. Sen. John Kerry won it in 2004 - 25 percent. "That's about where the average of the polls has been," Stewart said, "though it might be a little higher because these polls are kind of stale."
Stewart noted that Obama is up about 8 to 10 percentage points across the country compared to where Kerry was at this point in 2004. The problem for Obama, Stewart said, is that there isn't much room to expand the margin in Massachusetts since Democrats pretty much maxed out for Kerry in 2004 and Al Gore, who hit the 60 percent mark when he won by 27 percentage points in 2000.
"There is nowhere for Obama to go in Massachusetts compared to Kerry," Stewart said.
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